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Winter is Coming! Will it increase the chances of COVID-19?

How COVID-19 will affect us in winter, will the spread increase?


We have decreased the discussion on COVID-19, after all we have to move on. Almost all the lockdown restrictions are lifted at certain conditions, even the cinema halls have opened. People have started going outside for their routine work. People have defeated the fear of getting the infection, they have stopped discriminating with the COVID-19 patients, overall, they have now become normal. Although, due to lack of awareness, people have even stopped wearing masks in various rural areas.

When Coronavirus arrived in the country, in the month of March, there were discussions that the summer might defeat coronavirus, but it didn’t. Later, when monsoon was to come, there were discussions on the curb of spread, but COVID-19 survived that too. Now, that the winter is coming, the discussion has started again regarding the winter season, affecting the spread of coronavirus.

Generally, it is believed that seasonal viruses are more active in the winter season. The normal flu becomes more prevalent during the cooler months and people become more prone to sneezing and coughing.

Even though it has been more than 8 months since the novel coronavirus arrived, it has been difficult to read the behaviour and follow the trends of coronavirus. Scientists are still working to know if the weather has anything to do with COVID-19.


Will Coronavirus increase in winters?

WHO (World Health Organization) has said that there is no reason to believe that the cold weather can kill the COVID-19. The jury is still working out to find out the exact impact of winter on the global pandemic.

Read more: Can mosquitoes spread COVID-19 infection from one person to another?

A report published in The Print, by Klaus Stohr, a medical expert said that the behaviour of virus will not be different than other respiratory diseases, they are likely to come back. Dr Klaus Stohr has earlier worked with the WHO.

The United Kingdom’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies maintains that 4 degrees Celsius is a sweet spot for COVID-19. In winters, ultraviolet rays from the sun are less intense which inactivates the virus. In winters, we shut all the doors and try to remain inside as much as we can. This can decrease the ventilation and hence increase the chances of coronavirus. However, there is a relief as we won’t be traveling as much as we would in normal days, so it can decrease the chance of coronavirus.

For the Indian perspective, we talked to Dr. Vivek Kumar, Medical Officer in Government Doon Medical College, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, regarding the issue. He said “Look, although the common cold, which is also a virus, increases in winters, same can not be said for the coronavirus. Yes, the way we behave is going to affect the spread of COVID-19. If we don’t keep proper ventilation in our homes to keep it warm, we might increase the chance of coronavirus. Special care is required when we go outside. There should be no compromise with COVID-19 measures.”

Maharashtra has been tracking the H1N1 flu since 2009. It was found out there are usually two surges, one in monsoon and other in winter. The Winter surge is almost half of the monsoon surge.

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