Delhi Election 2020: Will AAP return in Delhi or BJP will triumph?

Two Major political developments in 2019
Two Major political developments in 2019

AAP and NDA favourites in Delhi and Bihar Elections respectively

Legislative Assembly Elections are strategized in such a way in India, that every year in some part of the country people reach to the polls station to choose their leader.  In 2019, we saw the General Elections where BJP emerged victorious getting 303 seats on own and crossing 350 marks with their allies. Assembly elections took place in 7 states- Arunachal Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, Sikkim, Haryana, Maharashtra, and Jharkhand. BJP was able to make government in three of those states – Arunachal Pradesh, Sikkim and Haryana. It got majority in Arunachal but needed allies to form government Sikkim and Haryana. Congress was able to become part of the government in Maharashtra and Jharkhand.

Delhi Elections

There is no doubt that Arvind Kejriwal has a stronghold in Delhi. His free schemes have worked enormously in the middle-class and lower-middle-class families. Satisfactory works in the education and health sector are also helping his cause. BJP claimed Modi vs Who is general elections, AAP is questioning Arvind Kejriwal vs Who for the Delhi Elections. Although, the official dates are not out for the election, but it is expected to be conducted in January-February.

Two Major political developments in 2019
Arvind Kejriwal

AAP have roped-in famous and successful political Strategist Prashant Kishor to work for him in the Election who gave the term “Achhe Beete Panch Saal, Lage Raho Kejriwal” (Last five years went well, keep going Kejriwal).  AAP government will try to repeat its performance of 2015 where it won 67 of the total 70 seats.

BJP, on the other hand, has been attacking AAP since they have been in opposition. BJP upped their ante in attacks in the leadership of Manoj Tiwari. They haven’t been able to form government in Delhi since 1998.

Narendra Modi kick-started the unofficial campaign in New Delhi with a major rally in Ramlila Maidan on December 22.

The third major party in Delhi, Congress looks helpless as they lack a defining face for the election. Last time, they weren’t able to win a single seat in Delhi which was earlier dominated by them in the leadership of late Sheila Dikshit.

Bihar Elections

Bihar Elections will be a test of the bond between BJP and JDU as the seat-sharing might become an issue. Prashant Kishor who is helping Arvind Kejriwal in Delhi Elections is the Vice-President of BJP’s ally Bhartiya Janta Dal. JDU has raised concern over the CAA and the nationwide NRC too. After a dismal performance in Jharkhand against the Mahagathbandhan, JDU now can put pressure on BJP for more seats in the election.

Both the parties contested on an equal number of seats in Lok Sabha Elections but they are looking to become the dominant party in the Vidhan Sabha Election. After shrinking to a mere 34% of the total geographical area, BJP won’t be looking lose Bihar. Thus, BJP President Amit Shah announced that the election will be contested under the leadership of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar. The statement came after reports of unease between the two parties surfaced.

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Nitish Kumar has been the Chief Minister of Bihar since 2005 except for a short period in 2014-15 when Jeetan Ram Manjhi became the Chief Minister. Therefore, Nitish Kumar might face some degree of anti-incumbency. Additionally, his serial political ‘flip-flopping’ has miffed some voters.

LJP which fought election individually in the Jharkhand Assembly election and failed miserably will look to contest with the NDA in Bihar.

On the other hand, Mahagathbandhan of RJD and Congress will look to change the dynamics in Bihar election which is still 8 to 9 months away. RJD in the leadership of Tejasvi Yadav, banking on Nitish’s Susashan Babu image got more seats than Janta Dal-United in Assembly Elections 2019.

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